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Originally Posted by jokostel That signifies the end for the democrats..
At least, this year.
Those that wont vote for obama or hillary will now split votes amongst mccain and this guy.
Thats a good 20-33% from the figures I heard last. | You are so off-base you are in the viewing stands. Quote: |
His candidacy throws a wild card into the White House race that many believe could peel away votes from Republican Sen. John McCain given the candidates' similar positions on fiscal policy. link | Quote:
Originally Posted by jokostel Any 3rd party running steals more votes from dems than reps.
It's a common occurrence.... and it's going to be a deal breaker in this race. | If it is so common, I am sure you won't mind linking to a citation of that fact. The way third parties effect elections is that if the third party is more liberal than the Democratic candidate, some Democrats will vote for that candidate instead of the Democratic candidate. An example is Ralph Nader in 2000.
On the other side, if the third party is more conservative than the Republican candidate, some Republicans will vote for that candidate instead of the Republican candidate. An example of that is Pat Buchanan in 2000 and Ross Perot in 1992. Libertarian candidates typically take votes from Republicans who feel that the Republican candidate isn't conservative enough.
Barr will take some votes from McCain, as many Republicans believe McCain isn't conservative enough. Whether Barr will garner enough votes to make a difference cannot be predicted now but typically third-party runs grab single-digits. Ross Perot was an exception since he spent $65.4 million of his own money and received 19% of the popular vote.
__________________ "Those who can make you believe absurdities can make you commit atrocities" - Voltaire
Last edited by MTAtech : May 13th, 2008 at 12:32 AM.
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