Obama stalls in public polling

[Atomic Rooster]

Obama stalls in public polling - Yahoo! News

In the two months since Barack Obama captured the Democratic nomination, he has hit a ceiling in public opinion polling, proving unable to make significant gains with any segment of the national electorate.

While Obama still leads in most matchups with John McCain, the Illinois senator’s apparent stall in the polls is a sobering reminder to Democrats intoxicated with his campaign’s promises to expand the electoral map beyond the boundaries that have constrained other recent party nominees.

That gap between expectations and reality comes as Democrats enjoy the most favorable political winds since at least 1976. At least eight in ten Americans believe the nation is on the wrong track. The Republican president is historically unpopular. From stunning Democratic gains in party registration to the high levels of economic anxiety, Obama should have a healthy lead by almost every measure. Yet, in poll after poll, Obama conspicuously fails to cross the 50-percent threshold.

ABC News Polling Director Gary Langer asked, “If everything is so good for Barack Obama, why isn’t everything so good for Barack Obama?”

Interesting question. He only leads between 2 and 7 percentage points depending on the poll.

[jokostel]

Do the polls indicate if the teleprompter was on or not?

[MTAtech]

From Chuck Todd, Mark Murray, and Domenico Montanaro
*** Obama builds on map lead: Obama has expanded his lead over McCain in NBC’s latest electoral map. Obama now has 217 electoral votes in his column versus 189 for McCain, building on his 210-189 edge from last month. There are 132 votes in the toss-up category. Here are the changes from last month, all of them moving in Obama’s direction: 1) Iowa moves from toss-up to Lean Obama, continuing this trend of the Illinois senator over-performing in the "region" of Illinois; 2) New Jersey moves from Lean Obama to Likely Obama; and 3) Oregon moves from Lean Obama to Likely Obama. In another year, both of those states would not have moved so early, but it's pretty clear the GOP and McCain will not be seriously contesting either one.
Likely Obama: CA, CT, DE, DC, HI, IL, ME, MD, MA, NJ, NY, OR, RI, VT, WA (190 electoral votes)
Lean Obama: IA, MN, WI (27 votes)
Toss-up: CO, FL, MI, MO, NV, NM, NH, OH, PA, VA (132 votes)
Lean McCain: AK, GA, IN, MT, NC, ND, SD (53 votes)
Likely McCain: AL, AZ, AR, ID, KS, KY, LA, MS, NE, OK, SC, TN, TX, UT, WV, WY (136 votes)

[Toadman]

WASHINGTON - Barack Obama may be the fresh face in this year's presidential election, but nearly half say they're already tired of hearing about him, a poll says.

With Election Day still three months away, 48 percent said they're hearing too much about the Democratic candidate, according to a poll released Wednesday by the nonpartisan Pew Research Center. Just 26 percent said the same about his Republican rival, John McCain.

Obama, the 47-year-old Illinois senator who would become the first black president, has dominated political news coverage much of the year. According to an ongoing Pew study, Obama has appeared in more news stories this year and more people say they have heard more about him than McCain, the longtime Arizona senator who also ran for president in 2000.

Two-thirds of Republicans and about half of independents said they've heard too much about Obama, as did a third of Democrats, a significant number.

At the same time, nearly four in 10 said they've been hearing too little about McCain — about four times the number who said so about Obama. About half of Republicans, four in 10 independents and even a quarter of Democrats said they've not heard enough about the GOP candidate.

The poll was conducted from Aug. 1-4 and involved telephone interviews with 1,004 adults. It had a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points.
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The unbiased media is going to burn out their Golden Boy. Can't live on adrenaline hype alone.

[GroundZero3]

Toad I think both sides are tired about hearing about both presidential candidates. People just want change and not the mud slinging

[Atomic Rooster]

Originally Posted by GroundZero3

People just want change and not the mud slinging

There's the kicker. We're not getting "change" with either of the candidates.

As it stands, on Aug. 3 the Real Clear Politics average of national polling had 46.6 percent of the public supporting Obama, putting him narrowly ahead of McCain. Exactly two months before, on June 3, that same average had Obama at the exact same level of support — 46.6 percent.

[MTAtech]

I think it's premature to be focusing so closely on polls when neither party has had its convention and neither candidate has chosen a running mate.

52.7% of voters are tired of hearing about polls.

[The Real Bingo]

Originally Posted by Atomic Rooster

We're not getting "change" with either of the candidates.

Sure you are.

[Toadman]

I think it's premature to be focusing so closely on polls when neither party has had its convention and neither candidate has chosen a running mate.

Exactly. But you have to admit that the media trips over it's own feet getting out more Obama stories than McCain. I'm not voting for either.

[Atomic Rooster]

Originally Posted by MTAtech

I think it's premature to be focusing so closely on polls when neither party has had its convention and neither candidate has chosen a running mate.

Originally Posted by Toadman

Exactly. But you have to admit that the media trips over it's own feet getting out more Obama stories than McCain. I'm not voting for either.

It's also premature of the Obama faithful here to be assuming that he will be the next president.