Thread: What happens next?
April 16th, 2002, 03:05 AM #1
What happens next?
As we all know (or some of us may not, sadly enough. ), technology doubles itself in performance every once in a while. What are we going to be doing in 5 years on our PC's that will require 5Ghz Processors (a guess. )? Other than running a lot of UD ?() It's something that perplexes my mind.
Unfortunately, I can't remember what I was doing 5 years ago on my computer. Soo.. There goes that insight.
April 16th, 2002, 03:07 AM #2
Ummm, that's a good question. Sooner or later we're all gonna own Crays the way technology is going. Why people would want a cray other than to crunch eccp is beyond me. But hey, maybe we'll have to hijack them.The difficulty is to try and teach the multitude that something can be true and untrue at the same time. -- Arthur Schopenhauer
April 16th, 2002, 03:09 AM #3
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Gaming gaming and gaming. We all know too that MS Word (older versions) run fine on P133Mhz...
But as tech goes up, so do the requirements for software.
April 16th, 2002, 03:13 AM #4
I mean, jeez. 7 years ago - a 1.2GB Hard Drive was impressive. It blows my mind that you would pay $4,000 for a P133 w/ 8MB RAM! JUST 7 years ago.
Incredible really. You would think that these things would eventually fail to impress us after a while. But, they never do. lol...
April 16th, 2002, 03:22 AM #5
That's progress...I suppose.The difficulty is to try and teach the multitude that something can be true and untrue at the same time. -- Arthur Schopenhauer
April 17th, 2002, 01:02 AM #6
I also came to realize how technology has changed and before i was very satisfied with working in an 80x86 PC. and now i crave for every bit a computer can give.E7300 | Gigabyte Volar | Asus P5QL PRO | 4 x 1GB Team Extreem Dark DDR2 800 | Palit 9600GT Sonic 1GB DDR3 | HEC Raptor 500W | 120GB, 320GB, 200GB SATA HDD | 20x LiteOn DVDWR | Viewsonic 19" Wide
April 17th, 2002, 06:04 AM #7
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The thing that is also mind blowing... think about it...
10 yrs ago, Intel was using huge mainframes (probably don't know facts) to crunch numbers for researching new materials that didn't run as fast as PC's run now... nowadays they're probably still running clusters of servers crunching numbers at TODAY's speed!! Now those servers can probably crunch enough numbers in a single day that probably took close to a year with those mainframes! So think about how much faster technology will approach as technology improves... its a self feeding mechanism... pretty interesting reallyHelicopters don't fly; they vibrate so much and make so much noise that the earth rejects them.
April 17th, 2002, 06:41 AM #8
Yes, but at some point we will reach the limit...and can't go any faster. Until someone figures something new out...This is The Signature©
April 17th, 2002, 10:52 AM #9
and can't go any faster.
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April 17th, 2002, 11:10 AM #10Until someone figures something new out
April 17th, 2002, 11:54 AM #11
It still boggles my mind that the $3.00 dime store four function pocket caluclator is faster, more powerful, and more accurate than the original Univac/Eniac machines that took three floors of an office building and ran on vacuum tubes.
I can only imagine that faster processing will come with faster I/O protocols and faster storage systems, and we'll be doing things in real-time that are almost incomprehesible today. Photo quality graphics in games, use of AI in almost everything. Imagine, all of the work of the Ex-Mad Cows thus far being done in a day.There's only two things in life. But I forget what they are.
April 17th, 2002, 09:03 PM #12
and speaking of technological evolution, later on everything that we do manually before can be automated and computerized. do you believe, guys, that we would someday evolved into something that just sit (like aliens in the movies) and controls everything that we do through a console. we only need the head and the hands to do everything. scary...E7300 | Gigabyte Volar | Asus P5QL PRO | 4 x 1GB Team Extreem Dark DDR2 800 | Palit 9600GT Sonic 1GB DDR3 | HEC Raptor 500W | 120GB, 320GB, 200GB SATA HDD | 20x LiteOn DVDWR | Viewsonic 19" Wide
April 17th, 2002, 09:45 PM #13
my Ti-83+ graphic calculator has 24kB RAM and 256kB archieve. it's probably also faster than the Commodore 64. the stuff it has over the commodore is that you can very easily program it to do math for you (like cheating sort of ) you can load games in less than a second instead of 5 minutes on a commodore and it takes less power
i think one of the problems facing the future is making stuff so small without any of the transistors touching.... electricity can arch ya know. i heard some thing about glass processors using light somewhere.....don't know if it was true though.
April 17th, 2002, 10:17 PM #14
Yeah, the limits of electricty based cpu's is are probably in the near future.
As mentioned by Chooco, the next big step will be accomplished when processors are manufactured utilizing fibre optics. The difference will be incredible, but initially very far out of reach for the average consumer and many research institutes.The difficulty is to try and teach the multitude that something can be true and untrue at the same time. -- Arthur Schopenhauer
April 17th, 2002, 10:22 PM #15
April 17th, 2002, 10:36 PM #16
I agree, it's just mind-boggling.
Here's a link someone posted a while back. I take time to look at it every now and then so I can remember where we came from.
History of Computing
It's hard to believe what has happened in just the last 20 years. I wish all these dates were put into a graph format - I would love to see what the exponential curve looks like.
April 17th, 2002, 11:07 PM #17
I read about those light processors in Wired. Pretty interesting.
I'm glad they are working on things like this. It may not be needed on our desktops, but hopefully it will speed up the net and make it cheaper.
April 18th, 2002, 12:48 AM #18
Optical Based CPU's and new storage solutions that lend themselves to the new 3D based files systems.
April 18th, 2002, 09:33 AM #19
the biggest bottleneck for now is the net being slow. my cable modem (cox.net) typically downloads
at 7kbps, barely faster than a dialup, at peak times.
in the middle of the night its 70-256 kbps. so my wish for the
future is T1 or T3 for everybody. then we can do some serious online gaming!my signature was so lame i deleted it.
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